Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.555237 3.775984 4.012912 4.287850 4.600379 4.947389 5.365849
2025-09-21 3.198944 3.492408 3.824873 4.235210 4.736682 5.342022 6.149145
2025-09-28 2.974993 3.317444 3.722284 4.248137 4.932992 5.827437 7.150003
2025-10-05 2.898609 3.299978 3.795112 4.473584 5.421736 6.781890 9.087157
2025-10-12 2.778829 3.212303 3.764418 4.553315 5.721864 7.544045 11.082224
2025-10-19 2.671759 3.127813 3.724510 4.608693 5.989621 8.325183 13.588380
2025-10-26 2.604445 3.087080 3.735683 4.733390 6.382920 9.447027 17.865481
2025-11-02 2.501045 2.988713 3.655808 4.708408 6.520318 10.133768 21.960750
2025-11-09 2.370743 2.844825 3.499299 4.545860 6.386889 10.208101 24.182138
2025-11-16 2.269472 2.735246 3.384498 4.437623 6.334475 10.452830 27.751808
2025-11-23 2.198248 2.663491 3.319693 4.403013 6.413305 11.044485 35.067585
2025-11-30 2.145272 2.614328 3.284493 4.412746 6.578835 11.937470 50.081827
2025-12-07 2.066611 2.529586 3.197656 4.339701 6.592726 12.511747 72.638018
2025-12-14 1.984799 2.437194 3.094716 4.231414 6.520020 12.821829 106.659726
2025-12-21 1.930775 2.382710 3.047054 4.216271 6.649716 13.912696 414.976702
2025-12-28 1.928818 2.403924 3.118344 4.422531 7.335768 17.870034 NaN
2026-01-04 1.897944 2.380264 3.116113 4.491996 7.718493 21.300592 NaN
2026-01-11 1.865320 2.352138 3.104372 4.541427 8.067407 25.504438 NaN
2026-01-18 1.847207 2.344966 3.126350 4.660202 8.655334 34.086541 NaN
2026-01-25 1.805447 2.299326 3.080549 4.634653 8.807421 39.747991 NaN
2026-02-01 1.744100 2.221104 2.975559 4.476151 8.503608 38.302071 NaN
2026-02-08 1.694777 2.160209 2.897916 4.370662 8.357575 39.276385 NaN
2026-02-15 1.659966 2.120855 2.855497 4.336861 8.442298 45.013979 NaN